The next presidential elections in the United States will take place in just over a year, and candidacies have been already declared on both sides of the political spectrum. In the Republican Party, former President Donald Trump declared his candidacy soon after the debacle of the Republican Party in the midterm elections in 2022. But besides Trump, many news faces emerge in the Republican political market to challenge the former President in the primaries. These faces include former U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Nikki Haley; former Vice President Mike Pence; former U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton; former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo; and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, just to name a few. Indeed, we can expect the Republican primaries to be intense. On the Democratic side, however, the only one who has declared his candidacy so far is President Joe Biden. Rumors have been circulating that there is a strong chance that he might not actually run. So far, President Biden hasn’t made any declaration regarding his withdrawal from the race.
Beyond the rumors that President Biden may withdraw his candidacy, there is another rumor that has been spreading: that California Governor, Gavin Newsom, may take a shot at the 2024 presidential election. Gavin Newsom, the incumbent Governor of the State of California, has been reelected through a recall election in 2021. The least we could say about Newsom is that his policies have been very divisive. A Public Policy Institute of California poll found that 58% of California adults approve of the job Newsom has been doing. Although many Californians approve of his work, Newsom’s policies have been criticized mainly by business owners and entrepreneurs who find his tax policies to be very business unfriendly. Under his leadership, many people have left the State of California due mainly to the state’s high cost of living and its exorbitant tax rates. As a matter of fact, renting an apartment is already expensive. The average price for apartments in Los Angeles was between $2,262 and $5,095 per month last year. His increasing national profile, which includes an appearance at a political festival in Texas and helping to raise money for embattled Democratic candidates across the country, has fanned speculation that Newsom was laying the groundwork to run for President at some point. Where does Newsom fit in the Democratic Party at the national level?
At the national level, Newsom could be the guy who would bring some fresh blood to the leadership of the Democratic Party. It is expected that many of the Democrats who ran in 2020; Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttigieg, and Kamala Harris; run again next year. Most people are already familiar with these candidates and their programs. And there is no expectation that they will change their political position anytime soon. Newsom does not have policy proposals that are substantively different from those of the candidates aforementioned. What the Democratic base is excited about him is that they want a change of leadership, they want a new face who is not accustomed to the halls of Capitol Hill. Newsome built his entire political career in California. He has never been elected at the federal level. He started from one of the lowest political offices that one could start with in the State of California, then rose all the way to Governor of California. During his political rise, he was the Mayor of San Francisco, then the Lieutenant Governor of California before becoming Governor. Newsom is not yet part of the deep state even though most of his policies are against the free market and a danger for economic expansion.